Hurricane Dean

[Don Tomas]

From what I've heard, it may breakup or be reduced in strength when it runs into the mountains. Then they generally pass over the North Coast. Just some strong winds and heavy rains, and of course some flooding. This is just word of mouth though, never been caught in one and never want to be!

Everyone down there towards the end of the week and weekend....STAY SAFE!!

Take a trip to Jarabacoa one day where Georges (iirc) passed over the DR and went right through the valley destroying the hydro-electric dam. When I was there last the pieces where still laying around, even if they have been cleaned up you can probably still see the twisted metal I-beams that were once the foundation.

Remember the DR has a few mountain ranges but they all run SE-NW so a hurricane can rip right down the valley.

[3somefan]

Shit! Looks like it may strengthen up to a CAT 4 Hurricane now. Looks like it will definitely affect the DR in some way...

[psriches]

[KoKi9290]

NOAA here in Miami is reporting the tracks show it remaining south of the DR but kicking the shit out of the Yucatan. The DR may still get Tropical Force winds.

[psriches]

At least it's moving rapidly!!

[3somefan]

Damn, that looks like it is heading straight towards the DR!! It's a CAT 2 hurricane now and is expected to grow in size and strength.

BlackBeard's newsletter was just emailed to me and they put something in it telling everyone not to worry about the hurricanes. They state that it has been over 50 years since one has struck the POP area.

[psriches]

I think the center will pass just to the south of DR. Although, the strongest wind gusts are usually found on the northern side of Hurricane rotations.

[guttaman]

Looks like a few tin roofs will be flying around. I hope the DR hurricane watch does not become a weekly thing.

[psriches]

Thurs. 9:05pm EST

[questner]

Here is the latest position and with extra 200 miles on the northern side I hope it will pass DR:
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INITIAL 16/2100Z 14.0N 56.5W 85 KT
12HR VT 17/0600Z 14.4N 59.7W 90 KT
24HR VT 17/1800Z 15.0N 63.5W 95 KT
36HR VT 18/0600Z 15.5N 67.0W 100 KT
48HR VT 18/1800Z 16.0N 70.5W 110 KT
72HR VT 19/1800Z 17.5N 78.0W 115 KT
96HR VT 20/1800Z 19.5N 84.5W 120 KT
120HR VT 21/1800Z 22.0N 90.5W 90 KT

[psriches]

[Rocky]

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/carb/loop-vis.html

[Rocky]

For those who don't already know, Sosua and surrounding areas never get hit by hurricanes.
At best, we get storms as a result of them passing by.
Dean should have no effect on us whatsoever, given it's southern projected track.
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/grap...?3day#contents

[Rocky]

This is one huge hurricane.
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/carb/loop-wv.html
(You may have to allow pop ups in security bar, to view)
The South coast will definitely be stormy, although nothing heavy should happen, except perhaps in the Barahona area.

[rley69]

As the hurricane said to the palm tree - hang on to your nuts, this is no ordinary blow job!

[Gladiator]

For those who don't already know, Sosua and surrounding areas never get hit by hurricanes.
At best, we get storms as a result of them passing by.

Rocky,

Everyone knows that hurricanes can hit the entire North Coast, and Sosua is no exception.

I was unfortunate enough to witness this myself in September 2004 as I was in Sosua when hurricane Jeanne hit the DR. Samana was the most damaged, but it also affected many other towns, including Sosua (blown down trees, torn off roofs, flooding, etc).

According to what some locals told me, Jeanne was relatively mild compared to other hurricanes that they had seen in the town in the past.

And for those who are curious: yes, when a hurricane hits the town it spoils the fun for a few days because most girls don’t like to get out of their houses while there are 70-80 mph winds or 2-day long, non-stop torrential rains.

[Beads]

Rocky,

Everyone knows that hurricanes can hit the entire North Coast, and Sosua is no exception.

I was unfortunate enough to witness this myself in September 2004 as I was in Sosua when hurricane Jeanne hit the DR. Samana was the most damaged, but it also affected many other towns, including Sosua (blown down trees, torn off roofs, flooding, etc).

According to what some locals told me, Jeanne was relatively mild compared to other hurricanes that they had seen in the town in the past.

And for those who are curious: yes, when a hurricane hits the town it spoils the fun for a few days because most girls don’t like to get out of their houses while there are 70-80 mph winds or 2-day long, non-stop torrential rains.

Chicas must freak out in 70-80mph wind not being able to work for 2 or 3 days.

[psriches]

Today 11:36am

The eye is still projected to pass south of DR.

[3somefan]

From the news live satellite feed, it looks like the eye won't go directly over the DR, but it will still hit the island pretty hard, including Haiti.

[Beads]

The south coast looks like its going to get the edge of it. Poor Jamaica is going to take a beating. Its going to be very interesting around Tuesday when it makes its way across land by Mexico.

If it doesnt lose some steam we could see a major hit someplace in the US.