Penn & Schoen predicts Dominican election outcome

[NewsWhore]

The polling company Penn & Schoen was the most accurate in predicting the outcome of the 20 May presidential election. In its 18-22 April poll, the company forecast that Danilo Medina would receive 51% of the vote against 46% of the vote for Hipolito Mejia. With 99% of the vote in, the results were 51.24%- 46.93%.

Bendixen & Amandi's poll of 13-16 May was also close, with a forecast of 52% for Danilo Medina compared to 45% for Hipolito Mejia.

Interestingly, the average of the 15 most recent polls was also relatively accurate. The average was 51.13%-45.8%.

The polls into the election were:

Penn Schoen (18-22 April): DM 51%, HM 46%
Gallup (14-18 April): DM 50.6%, HM 44.6%
CID Latinoamericana (30 April-4 May): HM 51%, DM 48%
Greenberg (2-7 May): DM 51%, HM 46%
Benenson Strategy (5-9 May): DM 52%, HM 41%
Sigma Dos (6-12 May): DM 53.7%, HM 43.6%
Campol Group (8-12 May): HM 50%, DM 45%
Alfonso, Cabrera y Asoc (10-12 May), DM 53.6%, HM 43.3%
Hamilton Campaigns (10-13 May): DM 52%, HM 43%
Centro Economico del Cibao (11-13 May): HM 50.4%, 47% DM Newlink (12-14 May): DM 52.1%, HM 45.5%
Zogby Analytics (12-14 May): HM 50%, DM 45%
Insight (11-14 May): DM 54.7%, HM 43.1%
Bendixen & Amandi (13-16 May): DM 52%, HM 45%
Asisa (14-15 May): DM 53.3%, HM 44.7%

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