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View Full Version : Juan Bolivar Diaz analyses 2012 presidential election



NewsWhore
05-28-2012, 04:40 PM
Political analyst Juan Bolivar Diaz wrapped up the elections in his report in Hoy on Sunday, 27 May. His conclusion is that the state won out again, describing how the ruling party assembled an electoral machine that crushed all that it found in its way, thanks to the vote of 13 allied parties that were sustained by government entities and the abuse of all sorts of public resources.

The ruling party and allies won the 20 May election 51.21% to 46.95% of runner-up PRD. The difference was 193,153 votes. The vote was confirmed by an exit poll carried out by Participacion Ciudadana, the civic watchdog group, and the PRD's own computer center, he reports. Likewise, the leading polls - Greenberg Quinland Rosner (51-47%), Penn Schoen & Berland (51%-46%), and Gallup (51-45%) had also suggested this would be the outcome.

Diaz writes the election result reveals a society that is deeply divided in three similar parts [those who voted for the PLD, the PRD and those who abstained], with the party that received the most votes now in the opposition. He speculates that political-social consensus will be necessary for governance, and social and economic stability.

Diaz says that of the 6,502,968 voters, 30.24% did not vote, 35.72% did so for the winning PLD coalition and 34.03% for the opposition, including 32.75% for the PRD and allies.

He writes that the vote practically divided the DR in two: 16 provinces and the National District where the government party coalition won, and 15 where the leading opposition party, the PRD and allies won. But he makes the point that by parties, the PRD received more votes than the PLD in 28 of 31 provinces and in the totality of the votes by 200,000 with 42.13% PRD to 37.73 of the PLD. He comments the PLD only won in the National District, San Juan de la Maguana and La Romana.

He mentions that the PRSC, led by Foreign Relations Minister Carlos Morales Troncoso, a long-time PLD ally received 5.87% of the vote. He says that was 1% more than the PRSC achieved in 2008, when it ran with current La Altagracia senator and former PLD ally Amable Aristy Castro as candidate.

In his report he says that the election revealed a system where the use of government resources, shameless wealth accumulation and political patronage have created a party and deeply vice-ridden electoral system that impedes the emergence of alternatives, citing the low vote count received by alternative parties, which in total received only 1.83% of the vote. He comments that the decline of democratic institutions is reaching dangerous levels, and that there is an urgent need for political and social reform, as well as respect for the law and Constitution.

www.hoy.com.do/tema-de-hoy/2012/5/26/429578/El-Estado-irrumpio-y-volvio-a-imponerse (http://www.hoy.com.do/tema-de-hoy/2012/5/26/429578/El-Estado-irrumpio-y-volvio-a-imponerse)

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