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View Full Version : Second round needed?



NewsWhore
08-23-2007, 05:40 PM
The most recent opinion poll results show that there will be a need for a second round in next year's presidential election, as none of the candidates are showing a strong enough standing. The 9-13 August Gallup poll published in Hoy reveals that President Leonel Fernandez (PLD) would be the winner in the second round. 47% of Dominicans eligible to vote would favor Fernandez, compared to 39.3% for Miguel Vargas Maldonado (PRD). According to the poll, if the election were to be held today, none of the presidential candidates would obtain the minimum 50%+1 vote needed to win in a first round. President Fernandez would receive 42.3%, Vargas Maldonado 35.3% and Aristy Castro 14.1%.
Fernandez has stronger support in the prosperous tourism region of the east with 43%, and the metropolitan (Santo Domingo) area with 41.7%. Meanwhile, Vargas Maldonado's strongest support is in the north with 32% and the southwestern region with 29%. Aristy has 19% support in the east, where his daughter is mayor of Higuey and for years he has been elected senator of the province, only to subsequently turn down the position to occupy his present post at the helm of the Dominican Municipal League.
1,200 Dominicans took part in the poll that has a 2.8% margin of error.
When asked who would be the next President, 43.8% responded President Leonel Fernandez, 28.6% responded Vargas Maldonado, and 10.1% responded Aristy Castro.
Interestingly, 54% of voters polled considered it possible that one of the candidates could win in a first round, while 33% do not think so. When voters were subsequently asked which candidate could win in a first round, 49.4% responded Fernandez, 36% Vargas Maldonado and 9% Aristy Castro.

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