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knotty
11-10-2007, 01:57 AM
November 10, 2007
BG shares surge after huge oilfield discovered off Brazil
Carl Mortished

The biggest oil discovery for seven years sent shares in BG Group soaring yesterday as Petrobras, its Brazilian partner, announced a find that would propel Brazil into the club of petrostates.

The Tupi field, offshore of Rio de Janeiro, contains between five billion and eight billion barrels of oil and would propel Petrobras into the super-league of hydrocarbon giants, alongside Exxon, Shell and BP.

BG’s 25 per cent share of the prospect pushed the British company’s stock up 5 per cent in anticipation of a big boost to reserves and oil output.

The New York Stock Exchange doffed its cap to the Brazilian state-owned oil company, adding 14 per cent to its value. Tupi is a huge technical challenge, as drilling has involved penetration between five and seven kilometres beneath the seabed, but it is a world-class resource.
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The estimated reservoir of between five and eight billion barrels has also been called a political weapon that the Brazilian Government will exploit to its maximum potential. The minimum estimate of Tupi’s recoverable barrels is equal to the entire remaining oil in the North Sea and Wood Mackenzie reckons production will be at least one million barrels per day.

The consultancy sees Brazil becoming a major oil exporter by 2015 and the significance is not lost on its Government. Brazil’s oil minister has withdrawn from a forthcoming auction of licences to international companies all acreage with similarities to the Tupi geology. Brazil is about to become a petrostate and a country that is already flexing its muscles in world trade forums is expected to raise its voice a little bit louder.

Even as Petrobras was celebrating its discovery yesterday, Brazil joined forces with Canada to sue the US over its trade-distorting farm subsidies. Trade experts said the US would be compelled to take notice, as it needs oil and Brazil is a friendly neighbour.

Brazil is widely perceived as the principal opponent of America and Europe at the World Trade Organisation, leading the attack by the emerging market nations against rich nation farm subsidies and quotas.

Brazil has won cases against the EU over sugar quotas and against the US over cotton subsidies. Trade experts claim that its latest campaign is to bring down America’s tax on imported ethanol, used as a biofuel additive in petrol. Already there is speculation that the Tupi discovery will add a powerful lever to Brazil’s argument that America must open its doors to a clutch of ambitious Brazilian industrialists who want to turn Brazil’s sugar cane plantations into an ethanol factory for export to the US.

Brazil could find itself growing in popularity and Chinese oil ministry officials are expected to book flights to Brasilia. However, Brazil watchers believe customers for Tupi’s barrels will be expected to offer more than cash.

http://business.timesonline.co.uk/tol/business/industry_sectors/natural_resources/article2844003.ece

Beads
11-10-2007, 12:22 PM
I just read about this yesterday also. Hopefully it can bring our gas prices down a bit. I know we have fairly cheap gas compared to a lot of other places but damn the price keeps going up pretty quick. I have heard people saying expect to pay close to $4 a gallon by next summer. Thats a little much.

weyland
11-10-2007, 01:39 PM
I just read about this yesterday also. Hopefully it can bring our gas prices down a bit. I know we have fairly cheap gas compared to a lot of other places but damn the price keeps going up pretty quick. I have heard people saying expect to pay close to $4 a gallon by next summer. Thats a little much.
Gas (unleaded petrol) prices in the UK have just climbed above $1 per litre (over US$9 per gallon). (But we don't have so far to drive before falling into the sea). If gas cost that much in the US it would improve your health and environment.

weyland
11-10-2007, 01:41 PM
November 10, 2007
BG shares surge after huge oilfield discovered off Brazil

This is bad news for Brazil. Soon weapons of mass destruction will be detected and the US will be forced to invade and restore democracy.

knotty
11-10-2007, 02:23 PM
This is bad news for Brazil. Soon weapons of mass destruction will be detected and the US will be forced to invade and restore democracy.
funny you said that because someone said that same thing on the board i got it from. :rofl::rofl::rofl::rofl: maybe the Brazillian gov't can put that money into the education system which sucks. but i do see the money going to the improper hands and not trickling down to the communities that need it. the gov't gave themselves a R30K-R40K raise in salary a few months back.

Gladiator
11-10-2007, 06:58 PM
Apart from the higher risk of a ‘liberating’ invasion that weyland mentioned, another negative point is that the view of some oil rigs in the distance might spoil the seascape from the beaches, not to mention the extra water pollution that might generate.

Also, there will be loads of expatriates working in the oil rigs, vessels and related onshore industries, who will take mongering breaks in Rio, pushing up garota prices even further – I can already imagine some Copacabana sex entrepreneurs specialising in oil workers who have spare cash and just 1 week to spend it before going back for another 4 week stretch off-shore.

In the meanwhile, as knotty said, the Brazilian rich (and the foreign companies who take a cut of the action) will get richer and the Brazilian poor will continue to be as poor as ever, because after all this is Brazil.

So, unless you owned some shares of BG Group before the announcement, this is bad news any way you look at it.

MrHappy
11-11-2007, 06:45 AM
Gas (unleaded petrol) prices in the UK have just climbed above $1 per litre (over US$9 per gallon). (But we don't have so far to drive before falling into the sea). If gas cost that much in the US it would improve your health and environment.

Here in the DR I'm paying around $3.75 for a gallon of Diesel, and gasoline is about $4.55.

Weyland, don't you mean that it's over 2 dollars per litre?

weyland
11-11-2007, 09:57 AM
Here in the DR I'm paying around $3.75 for a gallon of Diesel, and gasoline is about $4.55.

Weyland, don't you mean that it's over 2 dollars per litre?
Indeed. Apologies for the typo. My bad. It's £1 sterling per litre (US$2.09). Expensive for you guys but people here seem to accept it and there is a strong lobby for increasing the tax even more.

Hell, I just realised your US gallons are about 3.75 litres and UK (Imperial) gallons are about 4.5 litres. That complicates it even more and math was never my strong subject. Don't worry, we will all be using metric soon which will make things easier. We will be in the United States of Europe and the US will be a province of the Chinese People's Republic.